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CONTROL SCIENCES
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УЧРЕДИТЕЛЬ
Учреждение Российской
академии наук
Институт проблем управления
им. В.А. Трапезникова РАН
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Д.А. Новиков
Заместители главного
редактора
Л.П. Боровских, Ф.Ф. Пащенко
Редактор
Т.А. Гладкова
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Л.В. Петракова
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ООО «СенСиДатКонтрол»
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© Учреждение Российской
академии наук
Институт проблем управления
им. В.А. Трапезникова РАН
ПРОБЛЕМЫ
УПРАВЛЕНИЯ
2.2010
CОДЕРЖАНИЕ
Анализ и синтез систем управления
Цыкунов А.М. Робастное управëение ëинейныìи синãуëярно-возìущенныìи
объектаìи. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2
Шумский А.Е., Жирабок А.Н., Бобко Е.Ю. Метоä отказоустой÷ивоãо управëения
неëинейныìи äинаìи÷ескиìи систеìаìи: ëоãико-äинаìи÷еский
поäхоä . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 11
Дударенко Н.А., Полякова М.В., Ушаков А.В. Экспресс-оöенка скëонности
сëожных äинаìи÷еских систеì к вырожäениþ . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 19
Управление в социально-экономических системах
Иванова Н.В., Клочков В.В. Эконоìи÷еские пробëеìы управëения высокорисковыìи
инноваöионныìи проектаìи в наукоеìкой проìыøëенности. . . . . . 25
Попов Е.В., Шматов Г.А. Вы÷исëение охвата СМИ . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 34
Оленев С.Е. Систеìа стиìуëирования труäовых ресурсов при произвоäстве
изäеëий новой техники . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 39
Суслов С.А., Кондратьев М.А., Сергеев К.В. Аãентное ìоäеëирование как
среäство анаëиза и проãноза спроса на энерãоресурсы . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 46
Информационные технологии в управлении
Берман А.Ф., Николайчук О.А. Моäеëи, знания и опыт äëя управëения техноãенной
безопасностüþ. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 53
Управление технологическими процессами
Сидоров А.А., Захарченко В.Е. Оöенка äостоверности зна÷ений параìетров
АСУТП с поìощüþ синхронных ìоäеëей . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 61
Управление подвижными объектами
Андриенко А.Я., Тропова Е.И. Аëãоритìы быстроãо оöенивания вектора
высокой разìерности в заäа÷ах управëения поäвижныìи объектаìи. . . . . . . . . . 69
Хроника
Управление инноваöияìи: ìоäернизаöия на фоне кризиса . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 74
XVII международная конференöия «Пробëеìы управëения безопасностüþ
сëожных систеì». . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 78
Александр Сеìенови÷ Рыков (к 65-ëетиþ со äня рожäения) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 83
* * *
Contents and abstracts. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 84
Стр.1
CONTENTS & ABSTRACTS
CONTENTS & ABSTRACTS
ROBUST CONTROL OF THE LINEAR
SINGULAR-DISTURBED PLANTS. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .2
Tsykunov A.M.
The problem of control of a linear plant, which mathematical
model is described by the singular- disturbed differential equations
with an a priori unknown parameters, is solved. The algorithms of
control providing indemnification of parametrical and external disturbance
with required accuracy, as well as conditions under which
the initial model may be decomposed by allocating of fast and slow
components, are received. The received results are illustrated by a
numerical example.
Keywords: robust control, observer of the derivatives, singular-disturbed
system, state vector, auxiliary contour.
METHOD OF FAULT-TOLERANT CONTROL
FOR NONLINEAR DYNAMIC SYSTEMS:
LOGIC-DYNAMIC APPROACH . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .11
Shumsky A.E., Zhirabok A.N., Bobko Ye.Yu.
The method of solving control problem for nonlinear dynamic systems
with faults on the basis of logic-dynamic approach is suggested.
Keywords: nonlinear dynamic system, fault, fault-tolerant control,
logic-dynamic approach.
RAPID ESTIMATION OF THE TENDENCY OF COMPLEX
DYNAMICAL SYSTEMS TO DEGENERATION ON THE
BASIS OF ROBUST COMPUTING PROCEDURES. . . . . . .19
Dudarenko N.A., Polyakova M.V., Ushakov A.V.
The paper considers the problem of estimation of propensity to
system degeneration of complex dynamic systems. The algorithm of
estimation of degeneration functional based on robust computing
procedures is proposed. The statements put forward are illustrated by
an example.
Keywords: rapid estimation, functional degeneration, complex
system, criterial matrix, robust computing procedure.
ECONOMIC PROBLEMS OF HIGH RISK INNOVATION
PROJECTS MANAGEMENT IN SCIENCE-INTENSIVE
INDUSTRIES . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .25
Ivanova N.V., Klochkov V.V.
The paper proves the need of high risk innovation projects for
Russian science-intensive industry. Special attention is paid to the
branches producing costly products with long lifecycle. The most
principle kinds of risk are analyzed, the model of optimal diversification
of exploratory research is suggested.
Keywords: «breakthrough» products, time competition, lock-in
effect, exploratory research, risk, diversification.
MEDIA REACH CALCULATION . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .34
Popov E.V., Shmatov G.A.
The paper develops the analytical instrument of media reach calculation.
The recurrence relation for the media reach range is derived,
the characteristics of the media reach frequency distribution
behavior are analyzed, the formula of media reach calculation is generalized
and the audience reach calculation error is estimated. The
analytical instrument developed permits to meet the challenge connected
with advertising budget management and advertising placement
optimization.
Keywords: media reach frequency distribution, audience reach
calculation error, optimization.
SYSTEM OF EMPLOYEES’ PERSONAL MOTIVATION
IN THE COURSE OF NEW PRODUCT MASTERING. . . . . 39
Olenev S.Е.
The paper covers new methodology of employee’s personal motivation,
based on the mathematical model, which reflects increasing
84
rates of output during the time of new product launching. This model
provides objective appraisal of employee’s input and qualification in
each manufacturing operation, which allows to set close dependence
between his output and salary.
Keywords: automation, modeling, motivation, forecasting, output,
mastering, rate of output.
AGENT BASED MODELING AS A TOOL FOR DEMAND
ANALYSIS AND FORECASTING IN ENERGY . . . . . . . . . 46
Suslov S.A., Kondratyev M.A., Sergeev K.V.
Agent-based modeling and simulation was applied to investigate
a set of problems in the energy context. The paper shows advantages
of the agent based modeling approach. The method to define
agents-consumers in simulation tool AnyLogic and the approach to
simulating investment project risk are suggested.
Keywords: simulation, agent based modeling, AnyLogic, demand
for energy forecasting, simulation based management, risk analysis,
decision support tool.
MODELS, KNOWLEDGE AND EXPERIENCE
FOR CONTROL OF TECHNOGENIC SAFETY . . . . . . . . . 53
Berman A.F., Nikolaychuk O.A.
General principles, approaches, methods of investigation have
been formulated and control actions directed to provision of technogenic
safety have been determined. Considered are accidents and technogenic
extreme situations, which are conditioned by destruction or
depressurization of unique mechanical systems inside technological
complexes exploited for the processes running under extreme values of
technological parameters of hazardous agents. Some issues related to
investigation and control of the states of technological complexes and
unique mechanical systems inside them are discussed.
Keywords: technogenic safety, cause-effect complex, states, technique,
models, knowledge, experience, information technologies.
SYNCHROMODELS IN DATA VALIDATION
OF CONTROL SYSTEMS . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 61
Sidorov A.A., Zakharchenko V.E.
The article investigates a problem of data validation in control
systems. A so-called syncromodel is suggested as a solution. It is
based on simulation of control object and interval calculations. Syncromodel
functions synchronously with the control object. Fuzzy sets
theory is used to determine the measure of data validity.
Keywords: data validation, cleaning data, synchromodel, dirty
data, control systems, parameters, simulating model, fuzzy set.
ALGORITHMS FOR FAST ESTIMATION OF HIGH
DIMENSION VECTOR. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 69
Andrienko A.Ya., Tropova E.I.
The problem of planning of programmed control of mobile object
under conditions of deficiency and aprioristic uncertainty of time
allocated for the planning is considered. For solution of this problem
algorithms for fast estimation of vectors of parameters of high dimension
are suggested.
Keywords: vector of indignations of high dimension, algorithm
for fast estimation, deficiency of time estimation.
XVII INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCE «PROBLEMS
OF COMPLEX SYSTEMS SAFETY CONTROL» . . . . . . . . . 74
INNOVATION MANAGEMENT: MODERNIZATION
ON THE BACKGROUND OF THE CRISIS . . . . . . . . . . . . 78
ALEXANDER SEMENOVICH RYKOV
(to the 65-th anniversary) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 83
CONTROL SCIENCES ¹ 2 • 2010
Стр.84